Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.062103 0.070264 0.078647 0.087870 0.097704 0.107846 0.119069
2025-06-15 0.049128 0.061287 0.074453 0.089623 0.106482 0.124515 0.145141
2025-06-22 0.040280 0.054648 0.070900 0.090312 0.112554 0.136968 0.165523
2025-06-29 0.036038 0.052338 0.071424 0.094841 0.122275 0.152931 0.189334
2025-07-06 0.030698 0.047929 0.068836 0.095184 0.126709 0.162533 0.205666
2025-07-13 0.029693 0.048689 0.072287 0.102537 0.139212 0.181313 0.232427
2025-07-20 0.024525 0.043462 0.067859 0.099940 0.139586 0.185764 0.242483
2025-07-27 0.022799 0.042648 0.068859 0.103907 0.147751 0.199286 0.263042
2025-08-03 0.020124 0.040204 0.067512 0.104734 0.151945 0.208003 0.277902
2025-08-10 0.017772 0.037963 0.066235 0.105489 0.155926 0.216377 0.292299
2025-08-17 0.015233 0.035146 0.063953 0.104759 0.157913 0.222244 0.303640
2025-08-24 0.012223 0.031191 0.059786 0.101285 0.156227 0.223478 0.309297
2025-08-31 0.009629 0.027697 0.056246 0.098786 0.156079 0.227035 0.318373
2025-09-07 0.008361 0.026385 0.055877 0.100655 0.161684 0.237873 0.336525
2025-09-14 0.007015 0.024688 0.054772 0.101391 0.165741 0.246755 0.352296
2025-09-21 0.006636 0.024858 0.056563 0.106238 0.175265 0.262551 0.376623
2025-09-28 0.005493 0.023205 0.055305 0.106604 0.178739 0.270660 0.391455
2025-10-05 0.005727 0.024648 0.059153 0.114459 0.192363 0.291746 0.422452
2025-10-12 0.004282 0.021905 0.055862 0.111686 0.191492 0.294267 0.430339
2025-10-19 0.004004 0.021957 0.057288 0.115920 0.200190 0.309082 0.453596
2025-10-26 0.003328 0.020800 0.056526 0.116802 0.204247 0.317905 0.469359
2025-11-02 0.002733 0.019690 0.055754 0.117607 0.208160 0.326523 0.484867
2025-11-09 0.002073 0.018121 0.054015 0.116829 0.209801 0.332146 0.496574